Predictions: Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors
Dean McHugh
Content Writer
Match Details
- Fixture: Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors
- Competition: NBA
- Venue: FedExForum, Memphis, TN
- Date & Time: Wednesday, April 2, 2025, at 01:00 PM UTC
Grizzlies Recent Form & Key Stats
- Overall Form: The Grizzlies are in freefall right now having lost six of their last seven. What’s worse is that they have taken quite a few beatings during that time.
- Home Record: Memphis’ home form has been slightly more encouraging having won 65% of their games in Tennessee.
- Over/Unders: Despite 57% of their games going over this season, their home games have seen a slight edge towards unders.
- Key Player to Watch: Jaren Jackson Jr. – The versatile Jackson is just outside the NBAs top 20 scorers this season. He’s only dropped below scoring 20 points once in his last five games.
- Defensive Record: The Grizzlies have an awful defense this season and their best strategy for beating teams has been to try and outscore them rather than contain them.
- Head-to-Head vs Warriors: The Warriors have won four of the last five encounters between them.
Warriors Recent Form & Key Stats
- Overall Form: The Warriors picked up a couple of convincing back-to-back wins recently. However, it was only against the Spurs and the Pelicans. Prior to that when they did face stiff opposition they lost to the Heat and the Hawks.
- Away Record: They have won 54% of their games on the road this season which is pretty decent going.
- Over/Unders: Precisely half of their games have gone over the points total and half has gone under. The same can be said of their last 10 matches.
- Key Player to Watch: Brandin Podziemski – Podziemski has literally doubled his efforts as of late. That’s because over his last ten games he has almost doubled his season’s average points per game. He scored a season high 27 last time out against the Spurs.
- Defensive Record: Golden State are a well organised team and it shows in their defensive displays this season as they have the eighth best record in the NBA.
- Head-to-Head vs Grizzlies: Despite a good recent record against Memphis, the Warriors have lost six of their last seven games on the road against them.
Match, Team, and Player Insights
Match Context
Games at this stage of the season don’t get much bigger than this one. Only a win separates these teams in the Western Conference and a victory for either will do wonders for their confidence. They’re both far from their best at present and possibly have one eye on the playoffs. However, they will need to regain their focus if they want to stand any chance of chasing down the Lakers for the final home playoff berth.
Team Performance Trends
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- Grizzlies Going All Out: The Grizzlies attack have certainly lived up to their name this season as they have possessed plenty of bite going forward. They’re currently averaging 122 points per game which is the 2nd best record in the league.
- Rebound Battle is Key: These two are undoubtedly two of the best rebounding teams in the NBA this season. Therefore, you feel whoever wins this battle is likely to have a key foothold in the game.
- Memphis Spreading It Out: It would be easy to think that a bet on the Warriors to cover the spread looks nailed on given the Grizzlies have lost 11 of their last 12 ATS. However, that might not be the case as they have won 10 of their last 11 ATS against the Warriors at home.
- Golden States Shooting Goes South Against Southwest: The Warriors have seen four of their previous five matches against teams from the Southwest Division go under the points total.
- Tuesday Troubles for Memphis: 68% of Memphis last 19 games played on a Tuesday has gone under the points total. It would appear they tend to have a bit of a hangover from the weekend.
Key Player Matchups
- Jaren Jackson Jr. vs. Brandin Podziemski: These two tend to be the flexible options for their respective teams and often find themselves in different positions come game night. Whoever adapts to their roles best here could help their team massively as they’re both in good form.
- Jimmy Butler vs. Scotty Pippen Jr.: We always know what we’re going to get from Jimmy Butler. He will always bring something to the team, whether it be points or assists, he’s always a focus point. Pippen Jr. has been on fire as of late and he’s increased his season average significantly over his last ten games. Granted he had a bit of a nightmare last time out against Boston (so did the rest of the team) but if he can get back to playing the basketball he was showing prior to that game, he could be a thorn in the side for Butler and the Warriors.
Our Bets for Grizzlies vs Warriors
- Safe Bet: Under the Points Total ✅
- Value Bet: Jaren Jackson Jr. Over 19.5 Points ✅
- Risky Bet: Golden State Warriors to Win ✅
For more insight on these Grizzlies vs Warriors predictions, visit our Grizzlies vs Warriors odds page to find the latest odds and basketball predictions.
Prediction Summary for Grizzlies vs Warriors
Given the magnitude of this game we could see both teams abandon their usual style of play and take a more cautious approach here. This could easily play into the hands of betting on under the points total. We think the Warriors will win given the Grizzlies dreadful run of form as of late, but they do have a very poor record in Memphis to overcome.
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Dean McHugh
Content Writer
Dean is a freelance content writer who writes for various Digital Media Companies and independent websites all over the world. He has worked in and around the sports betting and iGaming industries for over 20 years, so it's safe to say he has a fair amount of knowledge. His love for sport began when he went to watch his first ever football (soccer) match aged six. From then on he has taken a keen interest in many sports, playing, watching and writing about them.