Miami Heat vs Warriors is usually a game you’re likely to find deep into the playoffs. However, with both teams struggling at times this season, there is no guarantee that both teams will even make the playoffs. Therefore, this is a key game already this season and the pressure is on for both. In this preview we will analyse all of the latest stats and trends to bring you expert picks with educated reasoning behind them.

Match Details

• Fixture: Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors
• Competition: NBA
• Venue: Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
• Date & Time: Tuesday, March 25, 2025, at 23:30 PM UTC

Heat Recent Form & Key Stats

• Overall Form: By beating the Hornets last time out the Heat ended a ten game losing streak. They will be hoping the win kick starts a turn in their fortunes.
• Home Record: They’re home form hasn’t been any better, winning just one of their previous eight matches.
• Over/Unders: 58% of Miami’s games in Florida have gone over the totals line.
• Key Player to Watch: Andrew Wiggins – Former Warrior Wiggins, dropped a season high of 42 last time out and he will be looking to continue that good form against his former employers.
• Defensive Record: Despite not doing well lately, the Heat still have one of the best defenses in the league.
• Head-to-Head vs Sixers: Miami have won their last two meetings, keeping the Warriors under 100 points on each occasion.

Warriors Recent Form & Key Stats

• Overall Form: Although they have lost two of their last four, the Warriors are playing relatively well at present as they have only been beaten four times in their previous 20.
• Away Record: Golden State have been decent on the road having won three of their last four away fixtures.
• Over/Unders: Of their 34 away games this season, 17 have gone over and 17 have gone under.
• Key Player to Watch: Jimmy Butler – Butler meets his former team for the first time having been suspended when they last met. He has top scored in three of his last four for Golden State.
• Defensive Record: The Warriors are allowing 110 points against them on average per game which is precisely the same at Miami.
• Head-to-Head vs Spurs: They have lost on three of their last four visits to Miami.

Match, Team, and Player Insights

Match Context

The storyline for the Golden State Warriors vs Heat sees two players meet their former employees for the first time. The last time they met Andrew Wiggins was a Warrior and although Jimmy Butler had signed for Golden State, he was suspended. And as fate would have it, both of them are currently playing their best basketball of the season.

Team Performance Trends

• Heat Coming Hot: The key to Miami’s recent success over the Warriors has been quick starts. They have averaged five more points than Golden State at half time in their last ten meetings and this stretches to eight points more if we focus on the last three.
• Warriors Love Travelling East: Golden State loves playing teams from the East at the moment as they have won seven of their last eight against them. In contrast, Miami have lost their last six against teams from the West.

Key Player Matchups

• Andrew Wiggins vs. Steph Curry: These two were teammates for years and will know each other’s game inside out. If the Heat are to get anything out of this one Wiggins will have to play well. Curry is currently nursing a small Injury, but he is expected to feature here. Can Wiggins take advantage of a ‘not 100%’ Steph Curry?
• Bam Adebayo vs. Moses Moody: Despite Miami having some of the worst rebounding stats in the league, Adebayo has been the one stand out performer in this area. He will need to be on point against a team ranked sixth in the league for rebounding. Although Moody won’t be directly in competition with Adebayo on the court, if he can maintain his 53% field goal shooting against Atlanta last time out he could take Adebayo out of the game.

Our Bets for Heat vs Warriors

• Safe Bet: Heat to be Leading at HT ✅
• Value Bet: Andrew Wiggins Over 19.5 Points ✅
• Risky Bet: Under Points Total ✅

For more insight on these Heat vs Warriors predictions, visit our Heat vs Warriors odds page to find the latest odds and basketball predictions.

Prediction Summary for Heat vs Warriors

The Warriors have been slow out of the gate quite a few times this season and they tend to work themselves into their matches. On the other hand, Miami will be on a high after ending their ten gaming losing streak last time out and they should come out with a bit more confidence. Plus, historically they have tended to start better in this fixture.

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